AVALANCHE RISK RISING WITH CLIMATE CHANGE

Climate change is increasing avalanche risks in the Himalayas. Rising temperatures and erratic weather destabilize snow and thaw permafrost, causing frequent avalanches. India must strengthen forecasting, disaster response, structural safeguards, and community preparedness to build resilience against this escalating climate threat.

Description

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Picture Courtesy:  NEWSONAIR

Context

A deadly avalanche in Nepal’s Rolwaling region on November 3, 2025, brought global attention back to the rising risks in high-altitude zones.  

What are Avalanches?

An avalanche is the rapid downhill movement of snow, ice, rock, or debris on a mountain, occurring when an unstable snowpack collapses.

Factors contribute to their formation:

  • Snow Accumulation: Heavy or continuous snowfall and strong winds create uneven snow distribution, increasing weight on existing layers and leeward slopes.
  • Weak Snow Layers: Temperature variations create fragile snowpack layers that can collapse suddenly, triggering slab avalanches.
  • Temperature Fluctuations: Rapid warming and cooling weaken snow bonds, reducing stability.
  • Earthquakes and Vibrations: Seismic shocks or even loud noises can disturb snow layers and initiate slides.
  • Human Activity: Deforestation, construction, skiing, and off-route trekking can disturb snow layers. For example, in February 2024, skiers in Gulmarg triggered an avalanche in a restricted area.

How Does Climate Change Worsen Avalanche Risk?

The Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region, or "Third Pole," is warming faster than the global average, leading to changes in snow and ice patterns that increase the risk of avalanches.

Accelerated Glacial Melt

Rising temperatures are melting glaciers rapidly. Glaciers in the HKH melted 65% faster between 2011 and 2020 than in the previous decade. (Source: UN Water)

ISRO reports that since 1984, 27% of Himalayan glacial lakes, including 130 in India, have expanded. 

  • This expansion elevates the risk of avalanches, glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs), and glacier sliding due to increased meltwater at the glacier's base.

Changing Precipitation Patterns

Warmer air leads to more rain at lower elevations and wetter snow at higher ones—both conditions that destabilize snowpacks. 

A 2018 University of Geneva study linked the rising frequency of avalanches in Himachal Pradesh since the 1970s directly to winter warming.

Intense Freeze-Thaw Cycles

Rapid daily temperature swings weaken snowpack layers, making them more prone to collapse.

Permafrost Melting

Thawing permafrost creates water pockets beneath ice layers, increasing slope instability.

What are the Impacts of Increasing Avalanche Incidents?

Loss of Life and Livelihoods: Over 120 deaths have been recorded in the Indian Himalayas due to avalanches in just two years (up to April 2023).

Infrastructure Damage: Essential infrastructure like roads, bridges, and power lines are frequently buried or destroyed.  

Economic Disruption: Tourism, a vital part of mountain economies, suffers as affected regions become hazardous.

Threat to Security Personnel: Defense forces operating in high-altitude border areas are constantly exposed to avalanche risks.

Cascading Disasters: Avalanches often trigger further calamities such as landslides, floods, and debris flows, intensifying overall damage.

Initiatives taken by India to Reduce Avalanche Risk

Advanced Forecasting and Warning Systems

The Defence Geoinformatics Research Establishment (DGRE), a DRDO laboratory, is the nodal agency for avalanche research and forecasting. 

It uses AI-based prediction models and manages an extensive network of snow observatories and automatic weather stations (AWS) to achieve this.

Infrastructure and Engineering Solution

A collaboration between the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH) and DRDO applies DGRE's expertise to mitigate avalanche and landslide risks on national highways. 

Protective structures like avalanche control pillars, snow fences, and diversion barriers are used, alongside controlled blasting to release unstable snow.

Emergency Preparedness and Community Awareness

Drones and thermal imaging aid rescue operations. State teams get high-altitude rescue training; awareness programs target residents and tourists.

NDMA Guidelines 

The National Disaster Management Authority's (NDMA) snow avalanche guidelines help states prepare for, mitigate, and respond to avalanches, aiming to reduce their impact through preparedness, early warning, and mitigation.

Source: NEWSONAIR 

PRACTICE QUESTION

Q. Discuss the factors that make the Himalayan region inherently prone to avalanches. 150 words

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

An avalanche is a rapid flow of a large mass of snow, ice, and rock down a mountain slope. The most common and dangerous type is a slab avalanche, where a cohesive layer of snow breaks away and slides down, but loose snow avalanches also occur.

Avalanches are caused by a combination of factors, including weather conditions, the structure of the snowpack, the steepness and shape of the terrain, and a trigger. Common triggers include heavy snowfall, rapid warming, and human activity like skiing or snowmobiling.

A wet-snow avalanche occurs when liquid water is present in the snowpack, reducing friction and weakening the snow's structure. These are becoming more frequent, even during mid-winter, due to warming events, and can be denser and more destructive than dry-snow avalanches.

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