LICENCE PERMIT RAJ

Trump’s steep tariffs aim to reduce U.S. dependence on foreign goods and curb China’s tech rise, triggering a global trade war. Tech markets plunged, inflation rose, and India faces export losses. However, India may benefit long-term by boosting local manufacturing and leveraging shifting alliances in global trade dynamics.

Last Updated on 18th April, 2025
5 minutes, 12 seconds

Description

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Context:

The escalating U.S. tariffs under President Trump are reshaping global trade dynamics.

Background

Tariffs are taxes that governments put on goods imported from other countries, to protect local industries by making foreign products more expensive, which makes people prefer buying cheaper local products instead of expensive imports.

The U.S. President Donald Trump is using tariffs as part of his “America First” policy. He wants to reduce America’s dependence on foreign manufacturing and create jobs in the country. His tariffs target China with rates as high as 145% on certain goods. This means China will find it harder to sell its products in the U.S., which could hurt their economy.

How Do Tariffs Affect Trade?

Free trade allows goods to move freely across borders without heavy taxes. But when tariffs are imposed, they create barriers, making trade more difficult. Trump’s tariffs aim to pressure China economically and politically. At the same time, China retaliates by putting tariffs on U.S. goods, creating a "trade war".  

Impact

Nvidia is a U.S.-based company that makes computer chips. The U.S. government banned Nvidia from selling its H20 chip to China without special permission. Since China accounts for 13% of Nvidia’s sales, this ban caused a loss of $5.5 billion in revenue. As a result, Nvidia’s stock price dropped by 7%.

The "License-Permit Raj" was a system in India where businesses needed special licenses and permits from the government to operate. This created delays, inefficiency, and corruption.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which tracks 30 major U.S. chip companies, fell by 25% since January 2025. Similarly, the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 index dropped over 3% in one day because investors fear the impact of tariffs on the tech industry.

Market and Economic Implications

  • Higher Prices for Consumers: Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, leading to inflation. For example, if tariffs raise the price of smartphones or cars, consumers have to pay more.
  • Job Losses: Companies may cut jobs if they can’t sell enough products due to higher costs.
  • Weaker Global Growth : Studies show North America’s GDP could drop by 1.6% because of these tariffs.

The Federal Reserve Chairman says the Fed won’t step in to stabilize the stock market because the problem comes from trade policies, not financial instability. He warns that tariffs could lead to higher inflation and unemployment.

Geopolitical Dynamics

Trump’s tariffs are part of a larger plan to weaken China economically and technologically. By imposing tariffs, he aims to stop China from becoming a global leader in technology. However, China fights back by imposing its own tariffs, as high as 125%, on U.S. goods.

The U.S. is also working with allies like Japan to form a united front against China.

China strengthens ties with countries like Malaysia.

Other nations, such as Canada and the EU, criticize Trump’s approach, calling it unfair and harmful to global trade.

Impact on India

Trump’s tariffs have increased import taxes on Indian goods from 3.5% to 26%. This will hurt Indian exports, especially industries like iron, steel, and electronics hardware. India could face short-term losses in exports but may benefit in the long term by focusing on local manufacturing. 

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Source:

INDIAN EXPRESS

PRACTICE QUESTION

Q. "Trade wars are not just economic battles but geopolitical contests. Assess how India can navigate these tensions while balancing its relationships with the US and China." 250 words

https://t.me/+hJqMV1O0se03Njk9

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