Energy Diplomacy

India’s crude oil transition: Challenges and Opportunities

India is gradually reducing its dependence on Russian crude amid global geopolitical pressures, but a complete halt remains unlikely due to discounted pricing, refinery compatibility, contractual commitments, and structural reliance of certain facilities. While increasing imports from the US and exploring options like Venezuela support diversification and reduce sanctions risk, higher logistics costs and limited alternative capacity pose challenges. India’s current strategy focuses on market-driven diversification, maintaining strategic autonomy, and strengthening long-term energy security through a broader supplier base and accelerated clean energy transition.

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India-Bhutan Hydropower Cooperation: Challenges and Way Forward

The February 2026 energy dialogue between India and Bhutan focused on operationalising Punatsangchhu and Sankosh hydropower projects. It marked a shift toward integrated grid partnership, addressing energy deficits, debt risks, and geopolitics, with a 2040 roadmap stressing solar diversification.

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INDIA'S CHANGING CRUDE OIL SUPPLIERS

India’s crude oil basket has evolved from dominant dependence on West Asia to a more diversified mix, influenced by geopolitics, sanctions, price dynamics, and refinery flexibility. The decline of Iranian supplies due to sanctions, the rise of U.S. and African crude, and especially the rapid increase in discounted Russian oil since 2022 have reshaped India’s sourcing pattern. Today, India imports nearly 85% of its crude requirement, with Russia emerging as a leading supplier alongside Middle Eastern producers, reflecting a strategy focused on cost efficiency, energy security, and diplomatic balancing.

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ENERGY SECURITY FOR INDIA: CHALLENGES & A SUSTAINABLE WAY FORWARD

India's energy dependence on imported oil and gas poses a national security risk. To enhance energy security, India should diversify sources, secure minerals, unlock indigenous energy, expand biofuels, strengthen nuclear energy, and promote research and innovation.

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