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Current Account Deficit

ECONOMIC STABILISATION FUND TO SHIELD INDIA FROM GLOBAL SHOCKS

India has established a ₹57,381 crore Economic Stabilisation Fund (ESF) via Supplementary Grants to counter global headwinds like oil shocks, maintaining a 4.4% fiscal deficit for 2025-26. This buffer shields the economy while long-term energy independence requires accelerating green transitions. 

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STRAIT OF HORMUZ: HOW A BLOCKADE COULD CRIPPLE THE INDIAN ECONOMY

The Strait of Hormuz is vital for India’s energy security. Any conflict disrupting supplies would spike oil prices, widen the current account deficit, raise inflation, and hurt key sectors. India responds by diversifying imports, boosting reserves, securing sea lanes, and advancing INSTC and Chabahar connectivity.

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India’s crude oil transition: Challenges and Opportunities

India is gradually reducing its dependence on Russian crude amid global geopolitical pressures, but a complete halt remains unlikely due to discounted pricing, refinery compatibility, contractual commitments, and structural reliance of certain facilities. While increasing imports from the US and exploring options like Venezuela support diversification and reduce sanctions risk, higher logistics costs and limited alternative capacity pose challenges. India’s current strategy focuses on market-driven diversification, maintaining strategic autonomy, and strengthening long-term energy security through a broader supplier base and accelerated clean energy transition.

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RUPEE BREACHES 90: CRISIS OR OPPORTUNITY FOR THE INDIAN ECONOMY?

The rupee’s fall past 90 reflects a strong US dollar, FPI outflows and a widening trade deficit. While it raises imported inflation and debt costs, it aids exports like IT and pharma. The RBI follows a managed float, using forex reserves to limit volatility and maintain economic stability.

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Rupee Depreciation and RBI's Intervention

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) manages rupee depreciation through tools like selling US Dollars and adjusting interest rates, addressing factors like trade deficits and capital outflows. A weaker rupee boosts exports but exacerbates inflation and increases debt costs, crucial for India's economic stability.

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