INDIA'S POPULATION

According to the UNFPA's 2025 study, India's fertility rate has decreased to 1.9, much below the replacement norm, with financial strain and changing societal choices playing major roles. 

Last Updated on 12th June, 2025
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Description

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Source: Telegraph

Context

According to a recent UN demographic report, India's population is expected to reach 146.39 crore by April.

Population Trend Report of UNFPA

Key Indicator

India

China

Notes

Population (2025)

146.39 crore (1.4639 billion)

141.61 crore (1.4161 billion)

India is now the most populous country in the world

Total Fertility Rate (TFR)

1.9

Below replacement level (2.1); indicates population stabilisation

Population Forecast

To peak at ~170 crore in coming decades; decline expected in ~40 years

Indicates long-term demographic transition

Life Expectancy (2025)

Men: 71 yearsWomen: 74 years

Reflects improved healthcare and living standards

Working-Age Population

68% (15–64 years)

Demographic dividend potential

Elderly Population (65+)

7%

Growing segment due to increasing life expectancy

Data Sources

DHS, MICS, UN DESA projections

UNFPA report based on global survey and projection sources

What is Fertility rate, and what are its characteristics?

  • Definition: Fertility is the actual number of children born to a woman during her reproductive years (15-49 years).
  • The total fertility rate (TFR) is: Measures the average number of births per woman, with 2.1 being the replacement level.
  • Determinants include education, health access, family planning services, cultural norms, and economic circumstances.
  • Global Fertility Issues: Developed countries such as Japan, Italy, and South Korea are seeing dropping TFRs (below than 1.5), raising worries about aging.
  • High Fertility in Fragile States: In Sub-Saharan Africa, TFRs exceed 4, emphasizing the importance of healthcare, education, and money.
  • Reproductive Inequality: Millions do not have access to contraception, maternal care, or reproductive autonomy.

Source:The Hindu

Practice Question:

Q. Consider the following statements:

  1. Between Census 1951 and Census 2001, the density of the population of India has increased more than three times.

  2. Between Census 1951 and Census 2001, the annual growth rate (exponential) of the population of India doubled.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

Options:
(a) 1 only
(b) 2 only
(c) Both 1 and 2
(d) Neither 1 nor 2 

Correct Answer: (d) Neither 1 nor 2

Explanation:

  • Statement 1:
    In 1951, India’s population density was 117 persons per sq. km, and by 2001, it had risen to 324 persons per sq. km.
    This is less than three times (324 ÷ 117 ≈ 2.77), so Statement 1 is incorrect.
  • Statement 2:
    The annual exponential growth rate was 1.25% in 1951–61, and around 1.93% in 1991–2001. It did not double, so Statement 2 is also incorrect.

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